RV Digital · 03 · The economics

RV-CMP Public.

An indicative carbon-project economics calculator. Mass balance from IUPAC 2021 stoichiometry, revenue and opex on user-supplied inputs, IRR and NPV via Newton-Raphson on the annuity formula, with a strict no-double-counting audit on the CO₂ ledger. Calibrated Saudi reference scenarios remain in the internal RV-CMP engine.

Instrument 03 of the digital layer. It models the cost, price, and return behind each product the chain can make.

Public layer · what it shows

Stoichiometric mass balance, revenue stack, opex stack, IRR / NPV / payback, no-double-counting audit. Every input is user-supplied with industry-neutral defaults — no Renewable Vision Saudi calibration baked in.

Internal layer · scoped through engagement

Saudi-calibrated cost defaults, ten validated reference scenarios (Pilot 20 kt → 20-plant 4 Mt), royalty and licensing structure, audit ledger with claim-holder map, 110-assertion Python-parity integrity tests.

Methodology and caveats

Output is indicative, intended for early-stage scenario exploration, not project decision-making. The calculator does no equipment sizing, no rigorous heat integration, and no capital cost estimation. Aspen Plus or equivalent FEED engagement remains the next step for any specific project.

User-supplied indicative values · not for project decision-making. Every input below is generic industry-benchmark midpoint, not Renewable Vision's Saudi-calibrated assumptions. Override each value with your own scenario. Results are illustrative output of the public calculator; the calibrated reference scenarios are scoped through a separate engagement.
Pathway
Project shape
H₂ → carbon products85%
MeOH share of carbon-H₂70%
Mg share of minerals50%
Discount rate8.0%
Input costs
Electricity60USD / MWh
Product prices
Returns · indicative
IRR (20-yr)
3.4%
NPV
-$94.3M
Gross margin
$20.9M
GM %
17.6%
Payback
14.3 yrs
Revenue
$118.7M
Revenue stack
H₂ direct$3.0M
MeOH$17.3M
SAF$16.0M
Mineral products$40.0M
CDR credit$42.3M
CaaS fee$0
Total$118.7M
Cost stack
H₂ production$15.9M
CO₂ capture$50.0M
Synthesis electricity$605.4k
Mineral electricity$4.1M
Lime$17.1M
Brucite$10.1M
Total opex$97.8M
Mass balance
H₂ → MeOH3.0 k t H₂
H₂ → SAF1.3 k t H₂
H₂ direct750 t H₂
MeOH output15.8 k t
SAF output2.9 k t
CaCO₃ output192.5 k t
MgCO₃ output162.2 k t
CO₂ → fuels15.3%
CO₂ → minerals84.7%
No-double-counting audit
CO₂ in fuels claim: fuel buyer (embedded RFNBO / RED III claim)
CO₂ in minerals claim: CDR credit buyer (permanent removal)
CO₂ at source claim: n/a
Mass balance residual0.000 t
Calibrated reference scenarios · request access
This public calculator runs on neutral industry-benchmark inputs. The internal RV-CMP engine includes Saudi-calibrated cost defaults, ten validated reference scenarios (Pilot 20 kt → 20-plant 4 Mt), and a no-double-counting audit ledger. Access is scoped through engagement.
Move from indicative to calibrated.

The Saudi-calibrated reference scenarios, royalty / licensing structure, and 110-assertion Python-parity integrity tests live in the internal RV-CMP engine. Access is scoped through engagement.

Request engagement